The Fed delivers a rare ‘hawkish cut’ as Powell tries to steady a softening job market

2 months ago 12

The Federal Reserve cut rates for a third straight meeting on Wednesday in what analysts call a “hawkish” move: an attempt to support a softening labor market while signaling reluctance to keep cutting.

The move was widely anticipated, but the tone was not. Officials paired it with firmer language about the “extent and timing” of additional adjustments, phrasing that, in what economists call Fed-speak, raises the bar for further cuts and underscores the committee’s unease about inflation, which the statement noted has “moved up” and “remains somewhat elevated.”

The decision also exposed the widening fractures inside the central bank toward the end of Chair Jerome Powell’s term. Three officials dissented, but in opposite directions: Stephen Miran pushed for a larger 50-basis-point cut, while Austan Goolsbee and Jeffrey Schmid argued the Fed should hold rates steady. It’s the rare meeting where hawks and doves both object, a scenario analysts had warned was increasingly probable as disagreements sharpened over how quickly the labor market is cooling, and how much restraint inflation still requires.

The December meeting also carries unusual weight because it may be the final one in which Powell still has authority as Fed chair. His term expires in May, but...

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