‘Nobody’s safe’: Cognizant projected 90% of jobs would be disrupted by 2032—but we’re beyond it 6 years early

In 2023, Cognizant researchers made a prediction that, by their own admission, made people think they’d lost their minds: by 2032, 90% of jobs would be affected by generative AI, with roughly 10% facing transformational change. 

“Everyone thought we were crazy,” said Ollie O’Donoghue, the firm’s head of research, speaking at Fortune’s COO Summit in Scottsdale, Arizona. But turns out, they weren’t crazy enough. 

Three years later, O’Donoghue and his colleague Sushant Warikoo, chief business officer of AI, presented data showing that 93% of jobs are already AI-capable — and 30% are now facing existential change. The 2032 threshold arrived in 2026.

Even the plumber or electrician, those blue-collar careers recently advertised as AI-proof, aren’t found to be so in Cognizant’s analysis. “Nobody’s safe,” O’Donoghue said.

P...